Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-17 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prediction 72.60%1.38fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -7.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.77%72.41%72.60%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.98%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.59%27.40%29.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.423.503.6032.79%29.25%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rafael Jodar (Local): 72.60%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 27.40%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -1.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -2.18%E -0.610%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 05:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 04:39
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 07:02
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 05:24
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:19
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:19
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 04:40
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 05:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 06:59
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 05:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 05:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:39
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:25
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 06:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 05:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 05:50
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:29
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 05:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:39
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 05:50
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 05:49
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:20
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -16.43%E -5.39%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 05:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%9.0%2026-08-16 07:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%12.2%2026-08-16 05:50

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