Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 67.61%1.48cote équitable
EV -0.606%
Avantage -0.412%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%67.39%67.57%68.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.45%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.39%3.09cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.38%32.61%32.43%35.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.0538.46%35.00%34.72%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 67.61% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 32.39%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.48. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.47, pour une espérance de -0.606% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -0.606%E -0.412%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.80%E -6.08%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.56%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.23%E -0.402%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -9.00%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.18%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:52 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.55%E -0.510%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -5.11%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |