Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-17 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 72.60%1.38odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -7.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.77%72.41%72.60%73.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.98%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.40%3.65odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.377%
Kelly -0.522%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.59%27.40%29.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.423.503.6032.79%29.25%28.57%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 72.60%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 27.40%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.65. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.36%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -2.18%E -0.610%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 05:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 04:39
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 07:02
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 05:24
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:19
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 06:19
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 04:40
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 05:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 06:59
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 05:45
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 05:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 04:39
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:24
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 05:25
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 06:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 05:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 05:50
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:29
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 05:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:39
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 05:50
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 05:49
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 05:20
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 05:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -16.43%E -5.39%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 05:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%7.9%2026-08-16 07:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%9.0%2026-08-16 07:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%12.2%2026-08-16 05:50
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 65.62%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%16.3%2026-08-16 07:55

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