StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

Matchstart: 2026-08-17 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Rafael Jodar 2–0 Alejandro Tabilo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 67.61%1.48rättvist odds
EV -0.606%
Fördel -0.412%
Kelly -1.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.04%67.39%67.57%68.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.45%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 32.39%3.09rättvist odds
EV -1.23%
Fördel -0.402%
Kelly -0.598%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.38%32.61%32.43%35.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.862.883.0538.46%35.00%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 67.61%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 32.39%. För Rafael Jodar (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.48. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.47, med väntevärdet -0.606%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -0.606%E -0.412%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 17:59
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.80%E -6.08%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 17:50
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.56%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 18:14
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.23%E -0.402%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-17 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-17 18:04
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -9.00%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.18%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:52
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 18:04
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 18:04
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 18:04
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 04:50
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 18:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.55%E -0.510%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 18:35
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:00
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 18:59
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -5.11%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 18:04
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-17 18:50
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-17 18:50
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.0%2026-08-17 18:50
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-17 18:35
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-08-17 18:55