Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 72.60%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -7.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.77%72.41%72.60%73.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.98%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.522%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.53%27.59%27.40%29.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.423.503.6032.79%29.25%28.57%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 72.60%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 27.40%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.36%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -2.18%E -0.610%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.59%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.17%E -3.16%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 04:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 04:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 05:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.36%E -0.377%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 05:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 05:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 05:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 05:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 05:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 04:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 05:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 04:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 05:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -16.43%E -5.39%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 05:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 07:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 07:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 65.62% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38% | 16.3% | 2026-08-16 07:55 |
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