Lingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 67.61%1.48quota equa
EV -0.606%
Vantaggio -0.412%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.04%67.39%67.57%68.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.45%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)
Previsione 32.39%3.09quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.402%
Kelly -0.598%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.38%32.61%32.43%35.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.862.883.0538.46%35.00%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 67.61%; Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta): 32.39%. Per Rafael Jodar (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.48. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.47, con un valore atteso del -0.606%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -0.606%E -0.412%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -1.28%E -0.878%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -15.80%E -6.08%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.38%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.56%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.63%E -1.83%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.23%E -0.402%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -9.00%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.31%E -2.32%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.18%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:52 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.84%E -0.948%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.05%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.94%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.55%E -0.510%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.70%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.08%E -2.10%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -5.11%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.73%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.46%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |