语言:简体中文
Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lorenzo Sonego (主队)
预测 39.38%2.54公平赔率
EV +0.411%
优势 +0.161%
Kelly +0.265%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.04%39.26%39.39%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.40%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 60.62%1.65公平赔率
EV +0.028%
优势 +0.017%
Kelly +0.043%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
57.14%60.74%60.61%62.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.551.561.6567.57%64.43%64.31%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lorenzo Sonego (主队)：39.38%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：60.62%。 对于“Lorenzo Sonego (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.54。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+0.411%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.28%E -6.94%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.74%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.71%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.18%E -0.727%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 00:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 19:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.85%E -5.17%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.028%E +0.017%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |