Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 36.96%2.71odd justa
EV +1.65%
Vantagem +0.600%
Kelly +0.943%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.91%36.76%38.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.25%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 63.04%1.59odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.44%63.09%63.24%65.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.501.501.5668.97%66.67%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 36.96%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 63.04%. Para Lorenzo Sonego (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.71. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.65%E +0.600%K +0.943%G +0.016%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:14
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.92%E -1.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 10:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.42%E -0.915%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:24
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.81%E -3.19%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:22
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.81%E -3.19%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.66%E -1.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 13:28
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.92%E -1.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:15
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:14
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:08
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:10
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -2.29%E -1.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.99%K -15.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:29
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-15 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-15 14:30
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-08-15 14:35

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