Lingua:Italiano
Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lorenzo Sonego (Casa)
Previsione 39.38%2.54quota equa
EV +0.411%
Vantaggio +0.161%
Kelly +0.265%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.04%39.26%39.39%42.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.40%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.62%1.65quota equa
EV +0.028%
Vantaggio +0.017%
Kelly +0.043%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%60.74%60.61%62.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.551.561.6567.57%64.43%64.31%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lorenzo Sonego (Casa): 39.38%; Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta): 60.62%. Per Lorenzo Sonego (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.54. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.411%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.28%E -6.94%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.74%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.71%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.18%E -0.727%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 00:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 19:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.85%E -5.17%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.028%E +0.017%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |