StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-17 01:58 UTC

Endstand: Lorenzo Sonego 0–2 Frances Tiafoe

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego (Heim)

Prognose 39.38%2.54faire Quote
EV +0.411%
Vorteil +0.161%
Kelly +0.265%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.04%39.26%39.39%42.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.40%41.67%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.62%1.65faire Quote
EV +0.028%
Vorteil +0.017%
Kelly +0.043%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.14%60.74%60.61%62.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.481.551.561.6567.57%64.43%64.31%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Lorenzo Sonego (Heim): 39.38%; Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts): 60.62%. Für Lorenzo Sonego (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.54. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.411%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 01:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 01:54
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 00:44
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 01:44
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.28%E -6.94%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 08:39
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.74%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.71%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.18%E -0.727%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 11:34
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 01:44
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 01:55
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 01:49
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 01:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 10:04
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 00:58
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 01:43
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 01:43
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:44
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 01:34
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 01:54
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 01:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.85%E -5.17%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 01:53
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:24
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:24
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 01:54
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 23:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 23:19
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.028%E +0.017%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 01:54
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 01:53
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-17 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-17 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-17 01:55
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-17 01:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-17 01:50
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%1.8%2026-08-17 01:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-08-17 01:55