Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Prévision 36.96%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +0.600%
Kelly +0.943%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.91%36.76%38.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.25%39.22%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.04%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.44%63.09%63.24%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.501.501.5668.97%66.67%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lorenzo Sonego (Local) : 36.96% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 63.04%. Pour Lorenzo Sonego (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.75, pour une espérance positive de +1.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.65%E +0.600%K +0.943%G +0.016%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:14
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.92%E -1.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 10:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.05%E -0.772%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.42%E -0.915%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:24
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.81%E -3.19%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:22
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.81%E -3.19%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.66%E -1.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 13:28
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.92%E -1.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 13:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:15
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:14
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:08
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:10
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -2.29%E -1.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.99%K -15.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 14:29
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-15 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-15 14:20
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-15 14:30
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-08-15 14:35

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