Langue:Français
Lorenzo Sonego v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Prévision 39.38%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.411%
Avantage +0.161%
Kelly +0.265%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%39.26%39.39%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.40%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.62%1.65cote équitable
EV +0.028%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.043%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%60.74%60.61%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.561.6567.57%64.43%64.31%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lorenzo Sonego (Local) : 39.38% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 60.62%. Pour Lorenzo Sonego (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.54. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.411%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.411%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.07%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -10.28%E -6.94%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.74%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.71%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.18%E -0.727%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 01:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 00:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 01:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 19:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.46%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.85%E -5.17%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.65%E -3.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.028%E +0.017%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.37%E -6.08%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 01:53 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 01:55 |