Language:English
Hamad Medjedovic v Marco Trungelliti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Prediction 64.61%1.55fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%64.55%64.49%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.78%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marco Trungelliti (Visit)
Prediction 35.39%2.83fair odd
EV -0.917%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.45%35.51%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.75%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 64.61%; Marco Trungelliti (Visit): 35.39%. For Marco Trungelliti (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.917%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.07%E -6.28%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.917%E -0.327%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.52%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -9.41%E -3.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.66%E -3.88%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 20:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |