Język:Polski
Hamad Medjedovic v Marco Trungelliti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Hamad Medjedovic (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 64.61%1.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.79%
Przewaga -1.18%
Kelly -3.44%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.52
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.22%64.55%64.49%65.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.78%67.57%65.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marco Trungelliti (Goście)
Prognoza 35.39%2.83kurs godziwy
EV -0.917%
Przewaga -0.327%
Kelly -0.509%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.05%35.45%35.51%38.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.75%37.74%35.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Hamad Medjedovic (Gospodarze): 64.61%; Marco Trungelliti (Goście): 35.39%. Dla wyniku Marco Trungelliti (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.83. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.80, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.917%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.07%E -6.28%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.917%E -0.327%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.52%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -9.41%E -3.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.66%E -3.88%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 20:43 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |