StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hamad Medjedovic v Marco Trungelliti

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 20:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Hamad Medjedovic 0–2 Marco Trungelliti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hamad Medjedovic (Hemma)

Prognos 64.61%1.55rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -1.18%
Kelly -3.44%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.22%64.55%64.49%65.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.78%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marco Trungelliti (Borta)

Prognos 35.39%2.83rättvist odds
EV -0.917%
Fördel -0.327%
Kelly -0.509%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.05%35.45%35.51%38.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.75%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hamad Medjedovic (Hemma): 64.61%; Marco Trungelliti (Borta): 35.39%. För Marco Trungelliti (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.83. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.80, med väntevärdet -0.917%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:44
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.07%E -6.28%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:44
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 20:44
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:09
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.917%E -0.327%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 20:40
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:29
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:40
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.52%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:34
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -9.41%E -3.68%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:09
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.66%E -3.88%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:29
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:44
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 19:23
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 19:18
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 20:43
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 20:40
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:40
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:40
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-08-14 20:40