语言:简体中文
Hamad Medjedovic v Marco Trungelliti
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hamad Medjedovic (主队)
预测 64.61%1.55公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -3.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.52
博彩公司预测分布
61.22%64.55%64.49%65.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.78%67.57%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marco Trungelliti (客队)
预测 35.39%2.83公平赔率
EV -0.917%
优势 -0.327%
Kelly -0.509%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
34.05%35.45%35.51%38.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.75%37.74%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hamad Medjedovic (主队)：64.61%；Marco Trungelliti (客队)：35.39%。 对于“Marco Trungelliti (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.80，期望值为-0.917%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.07%E -6.28%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.917%E -0.327%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.52%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -9.41%E -3.68%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.66%E -3.88%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 19:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 20:43 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |