Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hamad Medjedovic v Marco Trungelliti

Início: 2026-08-14 20:45 UTC

Final: Hamad Medjedovic 0–2 Marco Trungelliti

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Previsão 64.61%1.55odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.22%64.55%64.49%65.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.78%67.57%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marco Trungelliti (Visitante)

Previsão 35.39%2.83odd justa
EV -0.917%
Vantagem -0.327%
Kelly -0.509%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.05%35.45%35.51%38.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.75%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hamad Medjedovic (Local): 64.61%; Marco Trungelliti (Visitante): 35.39%. Para Marco Trungelliti (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -0.917%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:44
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -1.79%E -1.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -15.07%E -6.28%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:44
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 20:44
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.43%E -1.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:09
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.73%E -2.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.714%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.917%E -0.327%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 20:40
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:29
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.37%E -2.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:40
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.52%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:34
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.02%E -3.41%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -9.41%E -3.68%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:09
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.66%E -3.88%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:39
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:29
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.31%E -4.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:44
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 19:23
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 19:18
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.22%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.25%E -5.81%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 20:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 20:40
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:40
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-14 20:40
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-08-14 20:40