默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fils v Frances Tiafoe

2026-08-23 20:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

65%

35%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fils (主队)

预测 65.02%1.54公平赔率

EV -1.83%

优势 -1.21%

Kelly -3.58%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布

62.50%64.91%65.06%66.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.471.481.5171.43%68.02%67.57%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Frances Tiafoe (客队)

预测 34.98%2.86公平赔率

EV +0.754%

优势 +0.262%

Kelly +0.401%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布

33.26%35.09%34.94%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.682.652.8840.00%37.26%37.74%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Arthur Fils (主队)：65.02%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：34.98%。对于“Frances Tiafoe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.86。有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.88，由此产生+0.754%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV +0.754%E +0.262%K +0.401%G +0.003%	2.3%	2026-08-23 07:50
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -7.03%E -4.91%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV +0.405%E +0.141%K +0.216%G +0.001%	4.8%	2026-08-23 06:54
FanDuel🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.645%E -0.227%K -0.351%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.04%E -0.730%K -1.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.04%E -0.730%K -1.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.04%E -0.730%K -1.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 07:49
Bovada🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.04%E -0.730%K -1.14%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 06:56
BetAnything🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.04%E -0.730%K -1.14%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 06:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.13%E -2.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.74%E -0.987%K -1.54%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-23 07:00
GTbets🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.83%E -1.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-23 06:55
SportsBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -8.33%E -5.91%K -20.31%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-23 07:45
Coolbet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-23 07:55
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-23 06:45
Betsson🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 07:45
NordicBet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 07:45
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 06:49
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 05:19
betfred_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 06:50
Sky Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.98%E -6.41%K -22.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-23 06:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.98%E -6.41%K -22.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-23 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-23 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.13%E -2.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.84%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-23 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.13%E -2.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.84%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-23 05:04
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
BetUS🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.13%E -2.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-23 05:09
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.73%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 07:45
Fliff🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.03%E -4.91%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-23 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-23 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-23 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-23 06:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.03%E -4.91%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-23 06:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.28%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.29%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 07:45
ReBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.86%EV -7.03%E -4.91%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%EV -7.64%E -2.89%K -4.66%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-23 07:45
BetRivers🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Grosvenor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Casumo🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
TABtouch🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
betPARX🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.99%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.34%E -3.18%K -5.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 06:45
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.34%E -3.18%K -5.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 06:45
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 03:05
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 03:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 05:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 05:09
PlayUp🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 07:55
betano_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-23 07:54
Bet Victor🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.04%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-23 07:55
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.79%E -4.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-23 06:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.79%E -4.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-23 06:45
TAB🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.54%E -5.02%K -8.36%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 07:30
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.54%E -5.02%K -8.36%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 04:17

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Matchbook◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-08-23 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-08-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-08-23 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-08-23 07:30
ProphetX◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-08-23 07:40
Novig◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%	1.3%	2026-08-23 06:45
Smarkets◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%	2.4%	2026-08-23 07:35

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