Langue:Français
Arthur Fils v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prévision 64.76%1.54cote équitable
EV -0.264%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.36%64.61%64.75%65.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.44%67.57%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.24%2.84cote équitable
EV -0.281%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.154%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%35.39%35.25%38.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.432.622.622.8341.15%38.12%38.17%35.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Fils (Local) : 64.76% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 35.24%. Pour Arthur Fils (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.544. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.540, pour une espérance de -0.264% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 06:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 20:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.281%E -0.099%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -0.986%E -0.351%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -10.85%E -4.29%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 20:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 06:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 08:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 0.2% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 20:15 |