StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 20:41 UTC

Slutresultat: Arthur Fils 2–1 Frances Tiafoe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils (Hemma)

Prognos 64.76%1.54rättvist odds
EV -0.264%
Fördel -0.171%
Kelly -0.489%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.36%64.61%64.75%65.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.44%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 35.24%2.84rättvist odds
EV -0.281%
Fördel -0.099%
Kelly -0.154%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.12%35.39%35.25%38.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.432.622.622.8341.15%38.12%38.17%35.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Fils (Hemma): 64.76%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 35.24%. För Arthur Fils (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.544. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.540, med väntevärdet -0.264%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:39
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:39
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 20:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 20:04
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.281%E -0.099%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -0.986%E -0.351%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 20:40
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -10.85%E -4.29%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:39
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:39
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:19
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 20:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 20:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 06:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 08:12
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-08-23 20:40
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-23 20:40
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-23 20:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-08-23 20:15