Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-08-23 20:41 UTC

Final: Arthur Fils 2–1 Frances Tiafoe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

65%

35%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Previsão 64.76%1.54odd justa

EV -0.264%

Vantagem -0.171%

Kelly -0.489%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

61.36%64.61%64.75%65.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.44%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 35.24%2.84odd justa

EV -0.281%

Vantagem -0.099%

Kelly -0.154%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

34.12%35.39%35.25%38.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.432.622.622.8341.15%38.12%38.17%35.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Fils (Local): 64.76%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 35.24%. Para Arthur Fils (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.544. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.540, com valor esperado de -0.264%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Unibet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 20:40
TABtouch🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
BetRivers🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
Casumo🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
betPARX🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-23 20:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-23 20:39
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-23 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
GTbets🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-23 06:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-23 20:20
PlayUp🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-23 20:24
Sky Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 20:04
1xBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.281%E -0.099%K -0.154%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-23 20:29
Coolbet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-23 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-23 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-23 19:13
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-23 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -0.986%E -0.351%K -0.545%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-23 20:25
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-23 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-23 20:40
BetUS🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-23 19:14
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-23 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-23 20:39
SportsBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -10.85%E -4.29%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-23 20:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 20:39
Betsson🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 20:39
NordicBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 20:39
ReBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 20:39
Bovada🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 20:19
BetAnything🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 20:20
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 20:39
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-23 20:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-23 20:39
betfred_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-23 06:50
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:39
William Hill🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:39
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 20:39
betano_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-23 07:54
Bet Victor🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-23 08:12
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-23 20:40
Fliff🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-23 20:40

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Matchbook◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%	2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%	0.2%	2026-08-23 20:40
Novig◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%	0.3%	2026-08-23 20:40
ProphetX◎	1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%	0.3%	2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	0.5%	2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	0.5%	2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%	0.7%	2026-08-23 20:40
Smarkets◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%	2.3%	2026-08-23 20:15