StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils v Frances Tiafoe

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-23 20:41 UTC

Endstand: Arthur Fils 2–1 Frances Tiafoe

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils (Heim)

Prognose 64.76%1.54faire Quote
EV -0.264%
Vorteil -0.171%
Kelly -0.489%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.36%64.61%64.75%65.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.44%67.57%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.24%2.84faire Quote
EV -0.281%
Vorteil -0.099%
Kelly -0.154%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.12%35.39%35.25%38.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.432.622.622.8341.15%38.12%38.17%35.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Fils (Heim): 64.76%; Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts): 35.24%. Für Arthur Fils (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.544. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.540, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.264%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:39
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.264%E -0.171%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.61%E -5.09%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -0.912%E -0.596%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 20:39
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -1.56%E -1.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -14.38%E -5.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 20:39
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 20:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 20:04
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -0.281%E -0.099%K -0.154%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 20:29
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.40%E -0.865%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -0.986%E -0.351%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 20:40
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -10.85%E -4.29%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:39
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.45%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:39
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:19
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.34%E -0.478%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 20:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 20:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 20:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 06:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.68%E -2.93%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 20:39
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 08:12
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 20:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-08-23 20:40
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-23 20:40
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-23 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-23 20:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-08-23 20:15