Language:English
Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Head to Head
Valentin Royer (Local)
Prediction 21.57%4.64fair odd
EV +6.78%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.116%
assuming max odds 4.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.25%21.57%21.57%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.344.334.9525.97%23.06%23.09%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 78.43%1.28fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -19.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.43%78.43%80.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.26%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Valentin Royer (Local): 21.57%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 78.43%. For Valentin Royer (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.95, producing a positive expected value of +6.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +6.78%E +1.37%K +1.72%G +0.116% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -7.45%E -6.32%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.62%E +0.952%K +1.20%G +0.055% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.67%E -5.60%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| GTbets | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -2.50%E -0.553%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.10%E -4.22%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.10%E -4.22%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.93%E -0.651%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.01%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.10%E -4.22%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.45%E -6.32%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -5.30%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.25%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.25%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.67%E -5.60%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.25%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.45%E -6.32%K -41.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.32%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.67%E -5.60%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.32%E -3.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:58 |
| betano_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.90%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.24%E -7.04%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -9.02%E -7.78%K -56.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.95%E -4.40%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -9.02%E -7.78%K -56.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80% | 12.3% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.95% | 13.1% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.97% | 13.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.91% | 14.6% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.13I 88.50%NM 50.22% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 49.78% | 76.2% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |