Idioma:Español
Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Royer (Local)
Predicción 19.24%5.20momio equitativo
EV +3.92%
Ventaja +0.726%
Kelly +0.891%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.68%19.33%19.16%21.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.865.005.4022.73%20.58%20.00%18.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 80.76%1.24momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -10.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.57%80.67%80.84%82.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.171.2187.72%84.90%85.47%82.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Valentin Royer (Local): 19.24%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 80.76%. Para Valentin Royer (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.20. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.92%E +0.726%K +0.891%G +0.035% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.99%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.51%EV +0.840%E +0.160%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.49%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.85%E -0.364%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.13%E -6.20%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.55%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -8.40%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |