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Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Resultado del partido
Valentin Royer (Local)
Predicción 21.62%4.62momio equitativo
EV +7.04%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.125%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.25%21.63%21.57%23.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.324.334.9525.97%23.14%23.09%20.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 78.38%1.28momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -3.59%
Kelly -19.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.37%78.43%80.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.30%83.33%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Valentin Royer (Local): 21.62%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 78.38%. Para Valentin Royer (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.62. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +7.04%E +1.42%K +1.78%G +0.125% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.88%E +1.01%K +1.27%G +0.062% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.72%E +0.572%K +0.724%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| GTbets | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -2.26%E -0.500%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.30%E -7.09%K -48.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.77%E -0.848%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:58 |
| betano_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.30%E -7.09%K -48.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -15.67%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -9.08%E -7.83%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.75%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -9.08%E -7.83%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04% | 11.0% | 2026-08-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19% | 11.8% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19% | 11.8% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.34% | 12.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.27% | 17.1% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |