Langue:Français
Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Royer (Local)
Prévision 19.24%5.20cote équitable
EV +3.92%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +0.891%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%19.33%19.16%21.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.865.005.4022.73%20.58%20.00%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.76%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -10.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%80.67%80.84%82.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.171.2187.72%84.90%85.47%82.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Valentin Royer (Local) : 19.24% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 80.76%. Pour Valentin Royer (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.20. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.40, soit une espérance positive de +3.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.92%E +0.726%K +0.891%G +0.035% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.99%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.51%EV +0.840%E +0.160%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.49%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.85%E -0.364%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.13%E -6.20%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.55%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -8.40%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |