Język:Polski
Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Valentin Royer (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.24%5.20kurs godziwy
EV +3.92%
Przewaga +0.726%
Kelly +0.891%
Wzrost +0.035%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.68%19.33%19.16%21.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.404.865.005.4022.73%20.58%20.00%18.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tommy Paul (Goście)
Prognoza 80.76%1.24kurs godziwy
EV -2.29%
Przewaga -1.89%
Kelly -10.88%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.57%80.67%80.84%82.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.181.171.2187.72%84.90%85.47%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Valentin Royer (Gospodarze): 19.24%; Tommy Paul (Goście): 80.76%. Dla wyniku Valentin Royer (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.20. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.92%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.92%E +0.726%K +0.891%G +0.035% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.99%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.51%EV +0.840%E +0.160%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.49%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.85%E -0.364%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.13%E -6.20%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.55%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -8.40%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |