Язык:Русский
Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Valentin Royer (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.24%5.20справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.92%
Преимущество +0.726%
Kelly +0.891%
Рост +0.035%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.68%19.33%19.16%21.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.865.005.4022.73%20.58%20.00%18.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tommy Paul (Гости)
Прогноз 80.76%1.24справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.29%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -10.88%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.21
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.57%80.67%80.84%82.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.181.171.2187.72%84.90%85.47%82.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valentin Royer (Хозяева): 19.24%; Tommy Paul (Гости): 80.76%. Для исхода «Valentin Royer (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.20. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.92%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.92%E +0.726%K +0.891%G +0.035% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.99%E +0.376%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.243%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.51%EV +0.840%E +0.160%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.49%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.85%E -0.364%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.13%E -6.20%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.756%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.55%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.94%E -6.96%K -56.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.67%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -8.40%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.32%E -5.45%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.51%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.90%E -3.28%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.48%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.29%E -1.89%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.52%E -4.71%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.09%E -2.58%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.33%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.71%E -3.99%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:55 |