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Valentin Royer v Tommy Paul
Direkter Vergleich
Valentin Royer (Heim)
Prognose 21.62%4.62faire Quote
EV +7.04%
Vorteil +1.42%
Kelly +1.78%
Wachstum +0.125%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.95
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.25%21.63%21.57%23.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.854.324.334.9525.97%23.14%23.09%20.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Auswärts)
Prognose 78.38%1.28faire Quote
EV -4.38%
Vorteil -3.59%
Kelly -19.92%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.22
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.63%78.37%78.43%80.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.30%83.33%81.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Valentin Royer (Heim): 21.62%; Tommy Paul (Auswärts): 78.38%. Für Valentin Royer (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.62. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.95 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +7.04%.
Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +7.04%E +1.42%K +1.78%G +0.125% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +4.88%E +1.01%K +1.27%G +0.062% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +2.72%E +0.572%K +0.724%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| GTbets | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -2.26%E -0.500%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.598%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.30%E -7.09%K -48.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.77%E -0.848%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.17%E -4.27%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -5.07%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.02%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.52%E -6.37%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| ReBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -9.18%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.73%E -5.66%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.38%E -3.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:58 |
| betano_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.95%E -4.96%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -13.50%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.30%E -7.09%K -48.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -15.67%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -9.08%E -7.83%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.75%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -9.08%E -7.83%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04% | 11.0% | 2026-08-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19% | 11.8% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19% | 11.8% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.34% | 12.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.27% | 17.1% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |