Language:English
Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marin Cilic (Visit)
Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 45.10%; Marin Cilic (Visit): 54.90%. For Marin Cilic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 09:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
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