Idioma:Español
Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
Predicción 45.10%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marin Cilic (Visitante)
Predicción 54.90%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 45.10%; Marin Cilic (Visitante): 54.90%. Para Marin Cilic (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.80, con un valor esperado de -1.18%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 09:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |