StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-03 23:59 UTC

Endstand: Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Marin Cilic

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sho Shimabukuro (Heim)

Prognose 45.10%2.22faire Quote
EV -3.03%
Vorteil -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.90%1.82faire Quote
EV -1.18%
Vorteil -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sho Shimabukuro (Heim): 45.10%; Marin Cilic (Auswärts): 54.90%. Für Marin Cilic (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.82. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.80, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.18%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 09:59
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 09:04
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 07:39
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 09:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:54
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:55
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:19
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:35
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 22:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 09:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 07:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 23:55
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 20:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 20:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-08-03 23:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-08-03 23:55
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%2.9%2026-08-03 23:55