Język:Polski
Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sho Shimabukuro (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 45.10%2.22kurs godziwy
EV -3.03%
Przewaga -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marin Cilic (Goście)
Prognoza 54.90%1.82kurs godziwy
EV -1.18%
Przewaga -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Sho Shimabukuro (Gospodarze): 45.10%; Marin Cilic (Goście): 54.90%. Dla wyniku Marin Cilic (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.82. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.80, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.18%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 09:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |