Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic

Início: 2026-08-03 23:59 UTC

Final: Sho Shimabukuro 0–2 Marin Cilic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Previsão 45.10%2.22odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marin Cilic (Visitante)

Previsão 54.90%1.82odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 45.10%; Marin Cilic (Visitante): 54.90%. Para Marin Cilic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.80, com valor esperado de -1.18%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 09:59
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:20
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 09:04
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 07:39
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 09:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:54
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 23:55
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:19
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:35
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 22:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 20:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 09:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 07:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 23:55
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 20:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 20:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-03 23:55
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-08-03 23:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-08-03 23:55
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%2.9%2026-08-03 23:55