语言:简体中文
Sho Shimabukuro v Marin Cilic
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sho Shimabukuro (主队)
预测 45.10%2.22公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -2.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
44.30%45.28%45.17%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.072.102.1551.28%48.20%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marin Cilic (客队)
预测 54.90%1.82公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.656%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
52.00%54.72%54.83%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.48%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sho Shimabukuro (主队)：45.10%；Marin Cilic (客队)：54.90%。 对于“Marin Cilic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.82。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.80，期望值为-1.18%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 09:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.90%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.18%E -0.656%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |