Språk:Svenska
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Sebastian Baez (Hemma)
Prognos 53.47%1.87rättvist odds
EV -1.07%
Fördel -0.581%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.07%53.53%53.39%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.08%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Mattia Bellucci (Borta)
Prognos 46.53%2.15rättvist odds
EV -0.433%
Fördel -0.202%
Kelly -0.379%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.13%46.47%46.61%48.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.022.022.1452.36%49.52%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sebastian Baez (Hemma): 53.47%; Mattia Bellucci (Borta): 46.53%. För Mattia Bellucci (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.15. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.14, med väntevärdet -0.433%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.
Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.61%E -0.875%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.81%E -4.49%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.36%E -0.643%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.03%E -4.67%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.433%E -0.202%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |