Язык:Русский
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Sebastian Baez (Хозяева)
Прогноз 53.47%1.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.07%
Преимущество -0.581%
Kelly -1.26%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.07%53.53%53.39%55.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.08%55.56%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Mattia Bellucci (Гости)
Прогноз 46.53%2.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.433%
Преимущество -0.202%
Kelly -0.379%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.14
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.13%46.47%46.61%48.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.022.022.1452.36%49.52%49.50%46.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Sebastian Baez (Хозяева): 53.47%; Mattia Bellucci (Гости): 46.53%. Для исхода «Mattia Bellucci (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.15. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.14, математическое ожидание — -0.433%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.61%E -0.875%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.81%E -4.49%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.36%E -0.643%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.03%E -4.67%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.433%E -0.202%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |