Lingua:Italiano
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci
Testa a testa
Sebastian Baez (Casa)
Previsione 52.68%1.90quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.99%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.48%52.55%52.67%53.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.801.801.8556.50%55.43%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 47.32%2.11quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.95%47.45%47.33%48.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.002.002.0552.36%49.95%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Sebastian Baez (Casa): 52.68%; Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta): 47.32%. Per Sebastian Baez (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.90. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.85, con un valore atteso del -2.54%; non produce valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -2.54%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 19:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.07%E -1.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 18:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:19 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 22:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 18:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.83%E -2.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 17:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |