Idioma:Português
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Previsão 53.47%1.87odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.581%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%53.53%53.39%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.08%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Previsão 46.53%2.15odd justa
EV -0.433%
Vantagem -0.202%
Kelly -0.379%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.13%46.47%46.61%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.022.022.1452.36%49.52%49.50%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sebastian Baez (Local): 53.47%; Mattia Bellucci (Visitante): 46.53%. Para Mattia Bellucci (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.14, com valor esperado de -0.433%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.61%E -0.875%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.81%E -4.49%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.36%E -0.643%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.03%E -4.67%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.433%E -0.202%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |