Sprache:Deutsch
Sebastian Baez v Mattia Bellucci
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Sebastian Baez (Heim)
Prognose 53.47%1.87faire Quote
EV -1.07%
Vorteil -0.581%
Kelly -1.26%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.07%53.53%53.39%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.08%55.56%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts)
Prognose 46.53%2.15faire Quote
EV -0.433%
Vorteil -0.202%
Kelly -0.379%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.14
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.13%46.47%46.61%48.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.912.022.022.1452.36%49.52%49.50%46.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sebastian Baez (Heim): 53.47%; Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts): 46.53%. Für Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.15. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.14, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.433%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.07%E -0.581%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.61%E -0.875%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.14%E -1.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.82%E -2.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.69%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.81%E -4.49%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.36%E -0.643%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.03%E -4.67%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -0.433%E -0.202%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.63%E -5.70%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |