Language:English
Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer
Head to Head
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prediction 64.32%1.55fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%64.48%64.25%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5169.44%67.71%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visit)
Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV +0.615%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.338%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.52%35.75%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.652.8240.00%37.52%37.74%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pablo Carreno Busta (Local): 64.32%; Valentin Royer (Visit): 35.68%. For Valentin Royer (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.82, producing a positive expected value of +0.615%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV +0.615%E +0.218%K +0.338%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.52%E -2.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.88%E -0.685%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.88%E -0.685%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 18:48 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.88%E -0.685%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.95%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 20:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.09%E -4.17%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.81%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.81%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |