Język:Polski
Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 66.52%1.50kurs godziwy
EV -1.55%
Przewaga -1.05%
Kelly -3.22%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.48
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.59%66.46%66.55%68.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Valentin Royer (Goście)
Prognoza 33.48%2.99kurs godziwy
EV +0.433%
Przewaga +0.144%
Kelly +0.217%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.82%33.54%33.45%35.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.792.753.0038.02%35.83%36.36%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Pablo Carreno Busta (Gospodarze): 66.52%; Valentin Royer (Goście): 33.48%. Dla wyniku Valentin Royer (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.99. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.433%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.237%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -0.571%E -0.192%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.24%E -0.421%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.88%E -1.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -7.60%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 16:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -11.95%E -4.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |