Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer

Inizio: 2026-08-04 16:52 UTC

Finale: Pablo Carreno Busta 1–2 Valentin Royer

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa)

Previsione 66.52%1.50quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.59%66.46%66.55%68.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Valentin Royer (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.48%2.99quota equa
EV +0.433%
Vantaggio +0.144%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.82%33.54%33.45%35.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.792.753.0038.02%35.83%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pablo Carreno Busta (Casa): 66.52%; Valentin Royer (Trasferta): 33.48%. Per Valentin Royer (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.99. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.433%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 16:49
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.237%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -0.571%E -0.192%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.24%E -0.421%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.88%E -1.97%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 16:44
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:15
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:45
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -7.60%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:15
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:53
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 16:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:04
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:10
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -11.95%E -4.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 16:35
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-04 16:35
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-08-04 16:50