StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 16:52 UTC

Slutresultat: Pablo Carreno Busta 1–2 Valentin Royer

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pablo Carreno Busta (Hemma)

Prognos 66.52%1.50rättvist odds
EV -1.55%
Fördel -1.05%
Kelly -3.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.59%66.46%66.55%68.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Valentin Royer (Borta)

Prognos 33.48%2.99rättvist odds
EV +0.433%
Fördel +0.144%
Kelly +0.217%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.82%33.54%33.45%35.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.792.753.0038.02%35.83%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Pablo Carreno Busta (Hemma): 66.52%; Valentin Royer (Borta): 33.48%. För Valentin Royer (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.99. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.433%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 16:49
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.237%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -0.571%E -0.192%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.24%E -0.421%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.88%E -1.97%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:50
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 16:44
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:15
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:45
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -7.60%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:10
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:15
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:53
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 16:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:44
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:04
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:10
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -11.95%E -4.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-04 16:35
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-08-04 16:35
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-08-04 16:50