Langue:Français
Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Carreno Busta (Local)
Prévision 66.52%1.50cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.59%66.46%66.55%68.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Valentin Royer (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.48%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.433%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%33.54%33.45%35.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.792.753.0038.02%35.83%36.36%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pablo Carreno Busta (Local) : 66.52% ; Valentin Royer (Visiteur) : 33.48%. Pour Valentin Royer (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.433%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.237%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -0.571%E -0.192%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.24%E -0.421%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.88%E -1.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -7.60%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 16:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -11.95%E -4.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |