Sprache:Deutsch
Pablo Carreno Busta v Valentin Royer
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Pablo Carreno Busta (Heim)
Prognose 66.52%1.50faire Quote
EV -1.55%
Vorteil -1.05%
Kelly -3.22%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.59%66.46%66.55%68.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.66%69.44%67.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Royer (Auswärts)
Prognose 33.48%2.99faire Quote
EV +0.433%
Vorteil +0.144%
Kelly +0.217%
Wachstum +0.001%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.82%33.54%33.45%35.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.632.792.753.0038.02%35.83%36.36%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Pablo Carreno Busta (Heim): 66.52%; Valentin Royer (Auswärts): 33.48%. Für Valentin Royer (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.99. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.433%.
Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.433%E +0.144%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.237%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -0.571%E -0.192%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.24%E -0.421%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.88%E -1.97%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.91%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -7.60%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 16:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.55%E -1.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -11.95%E -4.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |