Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Prediction 61.10%1.64fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.19%61.01%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.5966.67%64.62%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.732%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%38.81%38.99%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.442.452.6242.92%41.01%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nuno Borges (Local): 61.10%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 38.90%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.62, producing a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.92%E +0.732%K +1.18%G +0.023%4.8%2026-08-04 11:14
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +0.362%E +0.140%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.3%2026-08-04 16:35
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 21:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:50
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:54
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 12:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:02
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:59
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:49
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:50
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.92%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:50
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 10:20
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:19
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:19
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:20
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:24
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 10:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 09:20
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 11:15
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:50
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:50
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:50
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:50
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.74%E -5.12%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:19
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 21:50
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 21:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 21:49
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 09:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:50
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-04 22:55
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-08-04 23:05
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%6.5%2026-08-04 23:05