Language:English
Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 61.64%1.62fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.60%61.69%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.30%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)
Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.40%38.31%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.5542.55%40.35%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 61.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 38.36%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -2.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.16%E -5.48%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.39%E -6.39%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |