Idioma:Português
Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nuno Borges (Local)
Previsão 61.64%1.62odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.25%61.60%61.69%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.30%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Previsão 38.36%2.61odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -0.854%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.40%38.31%39.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.482.502.5542.55%40.35%40.00%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nuno Borges (Local): 61.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 38.36%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.61. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.55, com valor esperado de -2.18%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.16%E -5.48%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.39%E -6.39%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |