Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inizio: 2026-08-05 15:10 UTC

Finale: Nuno Borges 2–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nuno Borges (Casa)

Previsione 61.64%1.62quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.25%61.60%61.69%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.30%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.36%2.61quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.854%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%38.40%38.31%39.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.482.502.5542.55%40.35%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nuno Borges (Casa): 61.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta): 38.36%. Per Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.61. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.55, con un valore atteso del -2.18%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 14:20
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 14:20
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:15
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:24
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:25
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 14:55
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 14:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.16%E -5.48%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.39%E -6.39%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 12:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-08-05 14:45
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 14:45
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-05 14:50