Idioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 61.10%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -4.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%61.19%61.01%63.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.5966.67%64.61%64.52%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Predicción 38.90%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.92%
Ventaja +0.732%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.41%38.81%38.99%39.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.332.442.452.6242.92%40.99%40.82%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nuno Borges (Local): 61.10%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 38.90%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.57. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.62, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.92%E +0.732%K +1.18%G +0.023% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +0.362%E +0.140%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:02 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.92%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:19 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 10:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.74%E -5.12%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |