Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

61%

39%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Nuno Borges (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.10%1.64справедливый коэффициент

EV -2.85%

Преимущество -1.79%

Kelly -4.83%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.59

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

60.10%61.19%61.01%63.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Распределение коэффициентов

1.501.551.551.5966.67%64.61%64.52%62.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Гости)

Прогноз 38.90%2.57справедливый коэффициент

EV +1.92%

Преимущество +0.732%

Kelly +1.18%

Рост +0.023%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

36.41%38.81%38.99%39.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Распределение коэффициентов

2.332.442.452.6242.92%40.99%40.82%38.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Nuno Borges (Хозяева): 61.10%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Гости): 38.90%. Для исхода «Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.57. 2 букмекера предлагают коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 2.62, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +1.92%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости ▼	Маржа	Обновлено
DraftKings	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.92%E +0.732%K +1.18%G +0.023%	4.8%	2026-08-04 11:14
Pinnacle	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +0.362%E +0.140%K +0.229%G +0.001%	3.3%	2026-08-04 16:35
Coolbet	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.97%E -0.783%K -1.30%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 21:50
Sky Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-04 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-04 23:25
FanDuel	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 21:50
1xBet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 21:54
Bovada	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 21:49
betfred_uk	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 11:05
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 12:15
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 20:02
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 20:59
SportsBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.11%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 21:49
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-04 21:50
LowVig.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.85%E -1.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.53%E -1.42%K -2.38%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-04 21:50
Marathon Bet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.92%E -1.59%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 21:50
Fanatics	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-04 21:50
Hard Rock Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-04 10:20
Casumo	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:19
TABtouch	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet (NL)	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
BetRivers	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Unibet (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
LiveScore Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Grosvenor	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Virgin Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Svenska Spel	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:19
betPARX	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
ATG (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:20
Bally Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 10:24
Betr (AU)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 21:50
PointsBet (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 10:50
BetMGM	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.70%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 09:20
GTbets	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.08%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 11:15
NordicBet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 21:50
Betsson	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 21:50
NetBet (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.13%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 21:49
Winamax (FR)	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 21:50
Dabble (AU)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 21:50
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 21:50
PlayUp	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 22:10
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 21:50
Coral	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 09:20
Caesars	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 12:09
PMU (FR)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.74%E -5.12%K -15.17%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 10:19
LeoVegas	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.64%E -2.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 22:35
Betclic (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.03%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 21:50
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-04 21:50
betano_uk	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 21:50
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.30%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.42%E -3.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 21:49
theScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 09:20
Neds	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 09:20
TAB	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 21:34
Unibet (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 21:49
Tipico (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.59%E -3.65%K -6.36%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 21:50
ReBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.91%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.36%E -4.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 21:49

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Novig	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.0%	2026-08-04 22:55
Matchbook	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%	1.7%	2026-08-04 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%	2.0%	2026-08-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%	2.0%	2026-08-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%	2.0%	2026-08-04 23:30
Smarkets	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%	3.1%	2026-08-04 23:35