Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Początek: 2026-08-05 15:10 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nuno Borges 2–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Nuno Borges (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.64%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -2.61%
Przewaga -1.65%
Kelly -4.50%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.25%61.60%61.69%62.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.30%65.36%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście)

Prognoza 38.36%2.61kurs godziwy
EV -2.18%
Przewaga -0.854%
Kelly -1.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.03%38.40%38.31%39.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.482.502.5542.55%40.35%40.00%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Nuno Borges (Gospodarze): 61.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście): 38.36%. Dla wyniku Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.61. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.55, przy wartości oczekiwanej -2.18%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 14:20
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 14:20
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:15
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:24
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:25
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 14:55
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:44
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.93%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 14:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.16%E -5.48%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.39%E -6.39%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 12:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-08-05 14:45
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:50
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 14:45
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-05 14:50